Los analistas de Yole Développement They have shared their data on the sale and distribution of RAM over the last six years and have relied on these to affirm that the new generation RAM will have an adoption or the same as the previous one. DDR5 will launch later this year and Yole expects total sales in 2021 to be less than 10% of DDR4.
However, they expect a jump by the end of 2022 when DDR5 represents 25% of total memory sales. Obviously DDR4 would then still have the majority with 75% sales, but this would not last another year since then these consultants expect DDR5 to exceed 50% of total RAMS sales by 2023.
Adoption will be fast
In this way, the acceptance of DDR5 would be similar to that of DDR4, if a little faster. DDR4 was launched in mid-2014 and in 2015 it represented 20% of total sales compared to DDR2 and DDR3. However, in 2016 they exceeded 50%, so it seems that the year of the jump is between 20 and 24 months after its launch.
Since DDR5 will be released later this year, then it would be around the same time in 2023 that most people would adopt the new generation. It is also logical if we take into account that the DDR4 has modules of a maximum of 32 GB for a maximum of 128 GB of RAM in a PC, while the new ones will have modules of 128 GB for a maximum, in principle, of 512 GB of RAM.
How this will affect gaming is still a mystery since we imagine that developers will not start taking this resource into account until consoles also make the move to DDR5. However, we are a whole generation away from this.